Ulm vs Bonlanden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HOL
0 - 3
ULM
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ULM
0 - 0
REU
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
SPI
1 - 2
ULM
18%
21%
61%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ULM
3 - 1
BAL
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
OFF
4 - 1
ULM
12%
19%
69%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | -3 |
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BON
1 - 1
NEC
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BON
1 - 3
NOR
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BAH
4 - 1
BON
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
BON
0 - 5
VFR
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
BON
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |