Ulm vs Bonlanden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
FRE
0 - 0
ULM
12%
21%
68%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
ULM
1 - 1
WMI
90%
8%
3%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
ULM
4 - 1
FCT
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 18 | 49 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
PFO
0 - 3
ULM
18%
22%
60%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
ULM
1 - 1
AJL
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
FVL
1 - 0
BON
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
BON
1 - 0
SDO
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
BON
2 - 2
LUD
27%
25%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
FRE
1 - 0
BON
67%
21%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BON
1 - 3
FCT
76%
15%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |