Ulm vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1988 |
SAA
0 - 2
ULM
55%
24%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
ULM
1 - 1
OSN
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
USO
2 - 2
ULM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
ULM
2 - 0
SCF
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
ULM
0 - 1
ROT
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1988 |
BAY
3 - 0
ROT
34%
29%
38%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
BWB
3 - 0
BAY
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
BAY
1 - 3
STP
30%
27%
44%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
SVS
5 - 0
BAY
77%
14%
9%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
BAY
0 - 1
DAR
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |