Ulm vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.7%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
88%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.4%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0%
-4
14.7%
0-5
6.7%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
9%
0-6
3.6%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.7%
0-7
1.7%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.1%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
ULM
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ULM
1 - 2
KAI
32%
26%
43%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ULM
2 - 2
STU
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ING
1 - 1
ULM
34%
24%
42%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
UNT
1 - 3
ULM
33%
24%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
WAT
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOT
2 - 3
BYM
15%
17%
69%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TOT
1 - 2
BYM
10%
13%
78%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 1
BYM
4%
9%
87%
|
99 | 52 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
EGE
1 - 14
BYM
1%
5%
94%
|
99 | 7 | 92 | 0 |