DFB Pokal 1/32
Global 3-2
Ulm vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
ULM
3 - 1
KÖL
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
OFC
3 - 0
ULM
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1987 |
ULM
4 - 0
AAA
32%
28%
39%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
BAU
1 - 1
ULM
37%
24%
39%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
BAY
2 - 1
ULM
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
BAU
1 - 1
ULM
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
BUR
2 - 1
BAU
35%
23%
42%
|
54 | 15 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
WWO
2 - 0
BAU
64%
20%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
KFC
0 - 3
BAU
35%
23%
42%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
S04
3 - 0
BAU
86%
9%
5%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |