Ulm vs Bahlinger SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
HOF
0 - 2
ULM
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
AJL
1 - 3
ULM
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
ULM
0 - 2
SVS
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 1
ULM
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ULM
0 - 4
CRA
81%
13%
7%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Bahlinger SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
LUD
2 - 1
BAH
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 0
WEI
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
KSC
3 - 1
BAH
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 3
LIN
52%
24%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
FVL
1 - 1
BAH
53%
25%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |