Ulm vs Astoria Walldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
BON
1 - 2
ULM
11%
20%
70%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ULM
0 - 4
HOF
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
ULM
2 - 2
EIN
73%
17%
11%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
FRA
2 - 2
ULM
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
ULM
1 - 3
KSC
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Astoria Walldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
AST
1 - 2
NEC
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 1
AST
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 0
AST
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
AST
1 - 1
ILL
52%
24%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
REU
3 - 2
AST
31%
25%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |