Ulm vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1988 |
MEP
4 - 2
ULM
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1988 |
ULM
2 - 1
FCR
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1988 |
F95
3 - 0
ULM
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
ULM
1 - 3
ROT
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
KÖL
2 - 0
ULM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1988 |
ARB
1 - 0
ROT
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1988 |
BWB
2 - 1
ARB
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1988 |
ARB
0 - 1
STP
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
SVS
1 - 0
ARB
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
ARB
0 - 1
DAR
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |