Ullern vs Tromsdalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
72.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
14º
14º
50
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
6 - 1
ULL
70%
17%
12%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 3
ALT
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TRO
4 - 0
ULL
78%
15%
8%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ULL
2 - 1
BAR
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 1
STR
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tromsdalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
3 - 0
GJO
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 1
TRO
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TRO
4 - 0
ULL
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
STR
0 - 2
TRO
21%
21%
58%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
ULL
36%
25%
40%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |