Ullern vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
11º
9º
38
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
3 - 2
ULL
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 2
KFU
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 3
ULL
29%
21%
50%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ULL
0 - 2
BAR
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ULL
3 - 4
GOF
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 3
ASK
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
OPP
4 - 3
SAR
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 4
SAR
37%
21%
42%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
IFL
46%
21%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KFU
5 - 0
SAR
63%
18%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |