Ullern vs Nordstrand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
11º
8º
56
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 62 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 54 |
2º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 40 |
6º
|
83.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 35 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 35 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
9º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 29 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 25 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
97% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 92% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 0
ULL
73%
16%
12%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 0
SAR
70%
17%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
3 - 2
ULL
19%
19%
62%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 2
KFU
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 3
ULL
29%
21%
50%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nordstrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
NOR
8 - 0
AIF
88%
8%
3%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OPP
0 - 2
NOR
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 1
MJO
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GOF
2 - 2
NOR
8%
13%
78%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
ASK
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |