Ullern vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ORN
3 - 3
ULL
56%
22%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ODD
0 - 0
ULL
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ULL
1 - 1
STR
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ULL
0 - 0
VAR
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SSK
1 - 1
ULL
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
3 - 2
VAR
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EGE
2 - 2
MOS
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 0
SJI
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
STR
1 - 3
MOS
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 1
ODD
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |