Ullern vs Mjøndalen IF II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
11º
9º
5
14º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 62 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 52 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 38 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 35 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SKE
2 - 3
ULL
22%
20%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
ULL
68%
16%
15%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 1
ASK
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
OPP
4 - 0
ULL
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ULL
1 - 2
NOR
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mjøndalen IF II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 3
GOF
55%
19%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
OPP
2 - 0
MJO
82%
12%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 3
SAR
19%
18%
63%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
FRI
1 - 0
MJO
91%
7%
3%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 5
KFU
24%
20%
56%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -2 |