Uljanik vs Grobničan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
14º
14º
6
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 62 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 55 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 53 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 52 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 46 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 44 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 43 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 41 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 39 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 35 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 34 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 31 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 28 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 27 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
51.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
35% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uljanik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JAD
4 - 0
ULJ
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ULJ
4 - 0
HRV
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ULJ
1 - 0
ROV
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VNV
1 - 0
ULJ
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ULJ
1 - 1
NHV
49%
24%
26%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grobničan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NKG
2 - 3
MAR
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
JAD
2 - 1
NKG
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
NKG
3 - 0
TRN
59%
21%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MZL
3 - 0
NKG
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NKG
2 - 0
NKK
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |