Uljanik vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
14º
14º
6
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 56 |
1º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 56 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 52 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 52 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 48 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 44 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 35 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 28 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
6 | 18 |
16º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 94% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uljanik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TRN
3 - 2
ULJ
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ULJ
1 - 2
KAR
25%
27%
48%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BJE
0 - 0
ULJ
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ULJ
1 - 2
HDR
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ULJ
2 - 1
NKG
29%
24%
48%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 5
JAD
24%
28%
49%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
HRV
3 - 2
JAP
53%
21%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 5
DUG
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -3 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SEG
4 - 0
JAP
30%
23%
48%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 2
MZL
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |