Úlfarnir vs Vatnaliljur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
39%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Úlfarnir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
UFC
3 - 3
SRI
60%
18%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
MID
3 - 2
UFC
76%
14%
11%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
UFC
0 - 3
ELL
25%
20%
56%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
SKA
6 - 0
UFC
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
UFC
0 - 0
REY
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Vatnaliljur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
KRI
5 - 2
VAT
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
VAT
1 - 1
GEI
79%
12%
9%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
IHH
3 - 2
VAT
93%
5%
2%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
LET
4 - 1
VAT
85%
9%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
KOH
6 - 1
VAT
72%
14%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |