Ulaanbaatar City vs BCH Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.4%
2.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
8º
6º
7
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulaanbaatar City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
ERC
1 - 2
ULC
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ULC
1 - 2
KHA
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ULC
5 - 1
KHO
77%
14%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ULC
4 - 0
TBF
42%
21%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
ULA
1 - 0
ULC
63%
18%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
BCH Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
BCH
0 - 6
ULA
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
DER
5 - 0
BCH
88%
8%
3%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
SPF
0 - 2
BCH
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 29 | 21 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BCH
0 - 8
KHC
9%
14%
78%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TBF
6 - 1
BCH
91%
7%
3%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |