UCSA vs Metalurh Zaporizhya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
4º
4º
14
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 15 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 2
UCS
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
KRE
0 - 1
UCS
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
UCS
1 - 4
PFC
12%
20%
68%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
UCS
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
UCS
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Metalurh Zaporizhya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
MEZ
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
KRE
0 - 1
MEZ
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MEZ
1 - 0
FYM
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
POL
2 - 2
MEZ
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
MEZ
1 - 3
FKK
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |