UCSA vs Kremin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+135%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
4º
3º
1
6º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 29 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 29 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 28 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 24 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 20 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 17 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 17 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 16 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
97.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 95.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
UCS
0 - 0
MET
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
FYM
2 - 3
UCS
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 4
UCS
17%
19%
63%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UCS
1 - 3
POL
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
POK
0 - 1
UCS
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Kremin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FKK
2 - 1
KRE
36%
23%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KRE
1 - 1
MET
16%
26%
59%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MEZ
1 - 0
KRE
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKO
2 - 0
KRE
8%
13%
78%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NYV
1 - 1
KRE
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |