UCSA vs Karpaty II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+114%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
8º
1º
39
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
34.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
65.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
UCS
2 - 1
CHA
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 1
UCS
25%
21%
54%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
UCS
1 - 1
FCL
84%
10%
6%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 3
UCS
68%
19%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +3 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UCS
3 - 1
NYV
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Karpaty II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 1
SST
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
KAR
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
RUT
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 0
KAR
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 3
FKK
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |