UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+167%
+235%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
8º
1º
28
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
34.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
65.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 3
UCS
68%
19%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UCS
3 - 1
NYV
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UCS
3 - 0
SST
16%
21%
62%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RUT
0 - 2
UCS
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UCS
3 - 0
FKK
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
FCL
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 1
FKK
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +3 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 1
KAR
9%
17%
74%
|
13 | 50 | 37 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 1
FKT
9%
17%
74%
|
12 | 49 | 37 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NYV
2 - 1
FCL
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |