UCSA vs Druzhba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+167%
+79%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
8º
1º
62
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
34.5% | 43.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
65.5% | 56.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCZ
0 - 2
UCS
66%
22%
12%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
UCS
3 - 0
MET
58%
22%
21%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RPH
1 - 1
UCS
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LIV
5 - 1
UCS
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FED
1 - 1
UCS
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Druzhba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 1
CHA
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 2
FCD
22%
24%
55%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FCD
3 - 1
FCL
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
NYV
2 - 1
FCD
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FCD
2 - 3
FNB
9%
15%
76%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |