Újpest FC vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
GYO
3 - 1
UJP
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
UJP
1 - 3
DVT
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1998 |
STR
4 - 0
UJP
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
UJP
3 - 2
DVS
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1998 |
BUD
0 - 3
UJP
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
STR
2 - 3
GRA
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1998 |
STR
4 - 0
UJP
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
RBS
1 - 1
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1998 |
STR
3 - 0
SCA
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1998 |
RIE
0 - 1
STR
36%
26%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |