Újpest FC vs Puskás Akadémia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
11º
7º
15
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
15 | 60 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 56 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
15 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 50 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 47 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 45 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 45 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 41 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 31 |
11º
|
41% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 24 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3% | 16.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
14.5% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 51% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 0
UJP
22%
21%
57%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
UJP
1 - 0
SKN
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
UJP
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VAS
4 - 3
UJP
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KOM
1 - 1
UJP
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Puskás Akadémia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SKD
0 - 3
PUS
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
LAS
0 - 0
PUS
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SLI
1 - 1
PUS
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 1
SKN
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PUS
4 - 1
DVS
40%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |