Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-2
Újpest FC vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
25.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1992 |
PAR
1 - 0
UJP
54%
28%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1992 |
FTC
1 - 3
UJP
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
UJP
0 - 2
NAP
32%
30%
39%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1990 |
NAP
3 - 0
UJP
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1990 |
UJP
2 - 0
BUD
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRE
59%
27%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
TOR
3 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1992 |
PAR
1 - 0
UJP
54%
28%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
PAR
3 - 1
UDI
57%
27%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
ATL
2 - 1
PAR
43%
30%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |