Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Újpest FC vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
LEE
4 - 1
UJP
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1966 |
UJP
4 - 0
KOL
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
KOL
3 - 2
UJP
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1965 |
EVE
2 - 1
UJP
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
UJP
3 - 0
EVE
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
NOR
2 - 1
LEE
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
LEE
4 - 1
UJP
68%
18%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
SHE
1 - 1
LEE
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
NTT
0 - 4
LEE
43%
26%
32%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1966 |
VCF
0 - 1
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |