Újpest FC vs Györ ETO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
10º
6º
22
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 58 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 55 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 32 |
12º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
17% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 32% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UJP
0 - 0
DIO
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FEM
0 - 7
UJP
3%
8%
89%
|
74 | 16 | 58 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KTE
1 - 3
UJP
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
UJP
3 - 0
DVS
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FTC
1 - 0
UJP
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Györ ETO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GYO
2 - 1
PAK
13%
19%
69%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PUT
2 - 6
GYO
15%
19%
66%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DAC
4 - 1
GYO
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DIO
0 - 0
GYO
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KTE
2 - 1
GYO
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |