Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Újpest FC vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1961 |
UJP
3 - 1
AJA
37%
21%
41%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1961 |
AJA
2 - 1
UJP
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1961 |
UJP
10 - 2
FLO
68%
16%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
FLO
2 - 5
UJP
37%
21%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1960 |
UJP
2 - 1
SLB
34%
23%
43%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
STJ
2 - 5
DUN
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1962 |
DUN
4 - 2
PAR
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1962 |
HOM
3 - 2
DUN
64%
18%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1962 |
DUN
2 - 1
MHE
59%
19%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1962 |
DUN
3 - 0
RAI
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |