Újpest FC vs Debreceni VSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
11º
5º
7
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 61 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 58 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 52 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 50 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 46 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 46 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 42 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 42 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 31 |
11º
|
41.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 19 |
12º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 6.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
19.5% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 74% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FTC
1 - 0
UJP
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UJP
4 - 1
FHV
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 1
UJP
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UJP
1 - 2
PUS
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 0
UJP
22%
21%
57%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Debreceni VSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DVS
0 - 1
DIO
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KTE
1 - 1
DVS
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GYO
0 - 3
DVS
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
RIE
1 - 1
DVS
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
DVS
2 - 1
ZIL
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |