Champions League 1/16
Global 5-1
Újpest FC vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1960 |
CRV
1 - 2
UJP
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1958 |
UJP
1 - 0
ZAG
81%
11%
8%
|
74 | 14 | 60 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1958 |
ZAG
4 - 2
UJP
29%
21%
50%
|
74 | 12 | 62 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1960 |
CRV
1 - 2
UJP
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1959 |
WOL
3 - 0
CRV
81%
12%
8%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1959 |
CRV
1 - 1
WOL
41%
22%
38%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1958 |
CRV
3 - 3
MUD
38%
22%
40%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 1
CRV
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |