Champions League Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Újpest FC vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
56.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
UJP
1 - 1
TNV
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
TNV
1 - 1
UJP
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
UJP
2 - 0
SLB
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
SLB
1 - 1
UJP
87%
8%
5%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
UJP
3 - 0
WAT
89%
7%
4%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
BYM
1 - 1
KAI
86%
9%
5%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
MSV
0 - 4
BYM
12%
21%
68%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
BYM
4 - 1
KOL
78%
13%
9%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
CSK
2 - 1
BYM
28%
22%
50%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
EIN
1 - 1
BYM
26%
23%
51%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |