Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Újpest FC vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.5%
6.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
AEK
2 - 0
UJP
6%
28%
66%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
UJP
0 - 1
RMA
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
RMA
3 - 1
UJP
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
UJP
3 - 1
GÖT
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
GÖT
1 - 1
UJP
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
AEK
2 - 0
UJP
6%
28%
66%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1982 |
KOL
5 - 0
AEK
84%
10%
6%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1982 |
AEK
0 - 1
KOL
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
AEK
2 - 0
ARG
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
ARG
3 - 0
AEK
62%
19%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |