Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Újpest FC vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
KOL
4 - 2
UJP
79%
13%
9%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
UJP
3 - 1
KOL
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
UJP
4 - 1
AEK
84%
10%
7%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
AEK
2 - 0
UJP
6%
28%
66%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
UJP
0 - 1
RMA
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
ABE
2 - 0
STM
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
HIB
0 - 2
ABE
37%
29%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1984 |
ABE
0 - 0
CEL
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
MHE
0 - 4
ABE
32%
29%
40%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
ABE
1 - 0
CEL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |