Uganda vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UGA
0 - 1
ZAM
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
MLI
2 - 2
UGA
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
UGA
0 - 0
CMR
30%
28%
41%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UGA
1 - 1
GAB
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UGA
3 - 0
TOG
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 1
MLI
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 1
ZAM
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 1
ZIM
15%
23%
63%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ZIM
3 - 1
LSO
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ZIM
1 - 1
GUI
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |