Uganda vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
UGA
1 - 0
MAD
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 1
UGA
15%
23%
62%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 1
UGA
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
UGA
66%
22%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
UGA
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
MUS
4 - 0
SYC
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
NAM
4 - 2
SYC
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
COD
3 - 0
SYC
84%
12%
5%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SYC
0 - 4
COD
12%
18%
71%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SWZ
0 - 3
SYC
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |