Uganda vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 1
UGA
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 1
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CGO
3 - 1
UGA
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
BDI
1 - 0
UGA
14%
22%
64%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SDN
2 - 3
UGA
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SEN
3 - 1
LBR
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
SEN
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 0
SEN
48%
27%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 1
SEN
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
2 - 1
SEN
8%
20%
72%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |