Uganda vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
GHA
0 - 0
UGA
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
TOG
1 - 0
UGA
27%
27%
47%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UGA
1 - 0
COM
87%
11%
3%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
UGA
0 - 0
KEN
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 2
UGA
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ZIM
1 - 0
ZAM
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 2
NGA
28%
30%
42%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 1
KEN
63%
24%
13%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
NAM
1 - 0
ZAM
22%
25%
52%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
2 - 3
ZAM
15%
23%
62%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |