Uganda vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
MLI
2 - 2
UGA
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
UGA
0 - 0
CMR
30%
28%
41%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UGA
1 - 1
GAB
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UGA
3 - 0
TOG
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TOG
0 - 1
UGA
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 1
ZAM
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 0
SDN
65%
23%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SDN
0 - 1
ZAM
23%
25%
53%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 0
ZAM
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
CGO
3 - 0
ZAM
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |