Uganda vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 0
UGA
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
NIG
0 - 3
UGA
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
0 - 2
UGA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
SSD
1 - 0
UGA
7%
14%
79%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
UGA
1 - 0
SSD
74%
18%
8%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
TOG
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
TOG
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
TOG
1 - 3
EGY
16%
24%
60%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
EGY
1 - 0
TOG
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
TOG
1 - 1
SDN
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |