WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Final
Global 4-0
Uganda vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TOG
0 - 1
UGA
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SDN
0 - 2
UGA
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
UGA
2 - 0
SDN
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
UGA
7%
16%
78%
|
69 | 10 | 59 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
UGA
1 - 1
TAN
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TOG
0 - 1
UGA
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TOG
1 - 1
NIG
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NIG
2 - 0
TOG
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
DJI
0 - 2
TOG
13%
19%
68%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
TOG
2 - 1
LBR
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |