Uganda vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
UGA
7%
16%
78%
|
69 | 10 | 59 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
UGA
1 - 1
TAN
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 3
UGA
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
UGA
2 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
UGA
1 - 1
GAM
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GAB
4 - 0
SDN
59%
25%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
SDN
1 - 0
SLE
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
SDN
0 - 1
CGO
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
RSA
2 - 1
SDN
70%
21%
9%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
NGA
3 - 1
SDN
84%
12%
4%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |