Uganda vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
UGA
2 - 0
MWI
60%
25%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
BFA
0 - 0
UGA
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
UGA
3 - 0
BDI
58%
24%
17%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BDI
0 - 3
UGA
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
24%
27%
50%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CMR
0 - 0
SSD
85%
12%
3%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 2
BFA
6%
13%
81%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
MWI
1 - 0
SSD
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SYC
0 - 1
SSD
25%
21%
54%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SSD
2 - 1
SYC
51%
22%
27%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |