Uganda vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
LSO
0 - 0
UGA
18%
26%
56%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
TAN
3 - 0
UGA
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
NGA
0 - 0
UGA
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
UGA
1 - 0
CPV
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
LSO
0 - 2
UGA
14%
22%
64%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
RSA
2 - 2
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LBY
1 - 2
RSA
24%
26%
51%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 1
PAR
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 1
NGA
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SYC
0 - 0
RSA
6%
15%
79%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |