Uganda vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BFA
2 - 0
UGA
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ZIM
2 - 0
UGA
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
KEN
4 - 1
UGA
45%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
UGA
1 - 2
RWA
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
UGA
1 - 1
KEN
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
COD
1 - 0
RSA
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
TUN
0 - 2
RSA
52%
26%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
RSA
2 - 0
BFA
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
GHA
3 - 0
RSA
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
RSA
2 - 1
CPV
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |