Uganda vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
ETH
2 - 2
UGA
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1993 |
SDN
1 - 1
UGA
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
UGA
2 - 0
TAN
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1993 |
UGA
3 - 1
TAN
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1992 |
UGA
0 - 4
ZAM
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1993 |
NGA
4 - 1
ALG
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
CIV
2 - 1
NGA
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1993 |
NGA
4 - 0
SDN
78%
17%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1993 |
ETH
1 - 0
NGA
28%
27%
44%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1993 |
NGA
2 - 0
CGO
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |