Uganda vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
UGA
3 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1978 |
TUN
3 - 1
UGA
73%
15%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1978 |
UGA
3 - 1
CGO
57%
22%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1977 |
UGA
5 - 3
ZAM
55%
21%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 1977 |
UGA
1 - 0
MWI
60%
19%
21%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1978 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NGA
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
NGA
1 - 1
GHA
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
NGA
4 - 2
BFA
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
GAB
0 - 1
NGA
34%
23%
43%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1978 |
NGA
2 - 0
BEN
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |