Uganda vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1978 |
TUN
3 - 1
UGA
73%
15%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1978 |
UGA
3 - 1
CGO
57%
22%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1977 |
UGA
5 - 3
ZAM
55%
21%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 1977 |
UGA
1 - 0
MWI
60%
19%
21%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1977 |
SOM
0 - 1
UGA
45%
22%
33%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 0
CGO
73%
16%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 3
SUN
20%
27%
54%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
MAR
0 - 0
IRQ
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
IRQ
3 - 0
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |