Uganda vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 0
RWA
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 1
UGA
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 0
MLI
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
KEN
0 - 0
UGA
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ETH
2 - 1
UGA
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
KEN
0 - 1
MLI
17%
25%
58%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
MLI
5 - 0
KEN
70%
20%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
RWA
1 - 1
KEN
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
KEN
0 - 0
UGA
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
TOG
1 - 2
KEN
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |