Uganda vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 2
UGA
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
ZIM
2 - 0
UGA
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
UGA
0 - 0
BFA
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BFA
1 - 0
UGA
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZIM
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
KEN
2 - 1
CGO
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 1
SDN
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 1
TAN
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
KEN
0 - 1
GNB
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GNB
1 - 0
KEN
34%
25%
42%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |