Uganda vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 1
UGA
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
NIG
2 - 0
UGA
25%
26%
50%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MTN
0 - 1
UGA
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
UGA
2 - 0
MTN
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
UGA
0 - 0
MWI
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 1
TOG
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
MLI
1 - 2
GUI
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
IRN
1 - 2
GUI
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
EGY
4 - 2
GUI
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 2
GUI
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |